Time preference

Intuitively, time preference describes the preference for present consumption over future consumption. It is a key concept underlying the theory of intertemporal choice. The strength of this preference is measured by the rate of time preference or, equivalently, by a discount factor.

An number of studies have shown that the standard theory of intertemporal choice is frequently violated in experimental settings, just as standard (static) expected utility (EU) theory of choice is systematically violated. The main findings of such experiments are (see Camerer 1995, pp. 649-51):

  • Implicit discount rates decline with time horizon (formally, this implies that discount rates are hyperbolic rather than exponential);
  • discount rates are larger for gains than for losses of equal magnitude;
  • people demand more to delay consumption than to speed it up.

    How alternative models of intertemporal choice (such as hyperbolic discounting) can be incorporated in applied economic research is an important field of current research.

    See also: intertemporal choice

    Literature: Ahlbrecht & Weber (1995), Camerer (1995), Fishburn & Rubinstein (1982)

    Entry by:: Joachim Winter


    June 17, 1999
    Direct questions and comments to: Glossary master