Hindsight bias: theoretical and empirical work

More recent studies have come up with models that enable precise forecasting of the strength and direction of the hindsight distortion, using a quantitative basis. Researchers are also attempting to determine how far hindsight decisions affect a personīs trust in their own judgements. They are also trying to determine how far such decisions affect a personīs impression of their competency in future decision-making on the same subject. Another interesting point to be examined is the relationship between hindsight bias and the attribution of responsibility.

Return to: implications for further research

Literature: Watch out for new SFB 504 discussion papers in 1999!

Entry by: Stefan Schwarz

June 11, 1999
Direct questions and comments to: Glossary master